7 NBA Stars Who Will Likely Show Decline In 2025-26

The 2025-26 NBA season is getting closer, and unfortunately for seven NBA stars, we anticipate a steep decline in their production.

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Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-Imagn Images

The NBA is always evolving, and every season, a new wave of talent pushes some star players away until they are forgotten. While some stars continue to dominate the court with remarkable consistency, others have begun to show cracks in their game due to injuries, age, or declining skills.

The 2025-26 season will be no different, as a handful of established names face the reality of slowing down while the next generation rises. As we get closer to NBA tipoff, here are seven NBA stars most likely to show signs of decline in 2025-26.


1. LeBron James

Dec 25, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) during the second quarter against the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

Reason For Decline: Age, Taking A Backseat To Luka 

As he gets closer to 41 years old, LeBron James is entering a different phase for an aging superstar still playing heavy NBA minutes for the Los Angeles Lakers. While his basketball IQ and playmaking remain elite, the presence of Luka Doncic signals a clear transition of power. LeBron will be asked to take more of a secondary role, conserving energy for stretches instead of carrying the offensive load as he has done throughout his career. 

His future beyond this season is already in question, and while he can still dominate in spurts, the days of him consistently dictating games are winding down. It is only natural for a player past 40 years old to show decline in a young man’s league, and even if James has defied logic with his production, we think 2025-26 will be the year he starts looking “old”.


2. Stephen Curry

San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) dribbles upcourt against the San Antonio Spurs in the second period at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images

Reason For Decline: Attrition

Stephen Curry’s brilliance has always been tied to his conditioning and relentless off-ball movement, but at nearly 38 years old, the mileage is catching up. With thousands of minutes logged across deep playoff runs, the wear and tear is inevitable, and we expect it to show in 2025-26.

Steve Kerr will likely manage his workload carefully, resting Curry more often to preserve him for meaningful stretches. That means fewer 30-point explosions on a nightly basis, and while his shooting will remain world-class, the heavy lifting for the Warriors won’t fall on his shoulders the way it once did. Perhaps that’s why Golden State will look to Jimmy Butler and whoever replaces Jontahan Kuminga to keep their title window open.


3. Joel Embiid

Feb 20, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia 76ers center Joel Embiid (21) looks on during the third quarter against the Boston Celtics at Wells Fargo Center. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

Reason For Decline: Inability To Stay Healthy

Joel Embiid’s biggest battle has never been talent, but availability due to never-ending health issues. After suiting up for only 19 games last season, his body continues to betray him, making it harder to trust his long-term durability. 

As he approaches 32 years old, the odds of reversing that trend diminish, and each year brings added risk of another setback. Even when healthy, Embiid may not be able to dominate physically for as long as he once did, raising doubts about whether the 76ers can still count on him as their anchor. Embiid won’t get healthier as he gets older, so decline is inevitable.


4. Paul George

Philadelphia 76ers forward Paul George (8) looks on against the Golden State Warriors during the second quarter at Wells Fargo Center.

Reason For Decline: Age And Body Breakdown

Paul George’s decline is more about the toll his body has taken rather than skill obsolescence. Now nearing 36 years old, George is coming off his worst season statistically in a decade (since 2014-15) and managed to play just 41 games. No doubt, last season was ugly for George.

His history of injuries suggests that full durability is unlikely to return, and that availability alone could limit his impact. When healthy, he’s still an elite two-way threat, but expecting him to sustain that across an entire season may no longer be realistic. In fact, “Playoff P” might simply be relegated to “Podcast P” at this point.


5. Jalen Brunson

New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11) reacts in the second quarter during game six of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Indiana Pacers for the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Reason For Decline: Lesser Offensive Role

Of all the players on this list, Jalen Brunson’s “decline” is more situational than physical. After thriving as the Knicks’ driving force under Tom Thibodeau, he now shifts to Mike Brown’s system, where minutes are likely to be distributed more evenly. He won’t be run to the ground as much as he was last season.

Instead of being asked to carry a heavy scoring burden, Brunson will assume more of a playmaking role, sacrificing his individual numbers for team balance. While his efficiency may hold steady, fans should expect a noticeable dip in his statistical production, but that could be to the benefit of the team. 


6. DeMar DeRozan

Mar 29, 2025; Orlando, Florida, USA; Sacramento Kings guard/forward DeMar DeRozan (10) dribbles the ball against the Orlando Magic in the first quarter at Kia Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeremy Reper-Imagn Images

Reason For Decline: Age 

DeMar DeRozan has aged gracefully, evolving his mid-range game and remaining a steady scorer well into his 30s, but time eventually wins out. Entering the 2025-26 season at 36 years old, he’ll no longer be able to generate offense as effortlessly, particularly against quicker defenders. 

Though he should still hover around the 20-point mark, his defensive limitations will become more apparent as his athleticism wanes. For Sacramento, that means DeRozan shifts from being a primary scoring threat to more of a reliable veteran presence, or potentially a last-ditch trade asset.


7. Cam Johnson

Nov 9, 2024; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Brooklyn Nets forward Cameron Johnson (2) celebrates a basket in the fourth quarter against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-Imagn Images

Reason For Decline: Moving Into Supplementary Role

After putting up a career-high scoring season in Brooklyn (18.8 PPG), Cam Johnson’s role is set to change dramatically with the Denver Nuggets. Surrounded by Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon, his responsibilities will shift from being a secondary creator to a complementary piece. 

That means fewer touches, fewer shots, and a focus on spot-up shooting, transition play, and perimeter defense. While Johnson’s efficiency could improve, his counting stats will almost certainly take a step back, making last season’s numbers look like an outlier. That shouldn’t bother Johnson much if he is competing deep in the postseason for the first time since leaving Phoenix.

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Eddie Bitar is a senior staff writer for Fadeaway World from Denver, Colorado. Since joining the team in 2017, Eddie has applied his academic background in economics and finance to enhance his sports journalism. Graduating with a Bachelor's degree from and later a Master's degree in Finance, he integrates statistical analysis into his articles. This unique approach provides readers with a deeper understanding of basketball through the lens of financial and economic concepts. Eddie's work has not only been a staple at Fadeaway World but has also been featured in prominent publications such as Sports Illustrated. His ability to break down complex data and present it in an accessible way creates an engaging and informative way to visualize both individual and team statistics. From finding the top 3 point shooters of every NBA franchise to ranking players by cost per point, Eddie is constantly finding new angles to use historical data that other NBA analysts may be overlooking.
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