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Home > NBA News & Analysis > NBA Players Who Bet On Themselves In Free Agency, But It Backfired

NBA Players Who Bet On Themselves In Free Agency, But It Backfired

We revisit NBA history by examining the times players bet on themselves in free agency only to lose millions of dollars down the line.

Eddie Bitar
Sep 7, 2025
10 Min Read
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Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Every summer, NBA free agency presents players with career-defining decisions. Some choose the security of long-term extensions while others take the riskier path by betting on themselves. After all, we have seen these examples throughout history.

Contents
  • Dennis Schroder – Rejected 4-Year, $84 Million From Los Angeles Lakers
  • Montrezl Harrell – Rejected 4-Year, $80 Million From Charlotte Hornets
  • Nerlens Noel – Rejected 4-Year, $70 Million From Dallas Mavericks
  • Victor Oladipo – Rejected 2-Year, $45 Million From Houston Rockets
  • Lance Stephenson – Rejected 4-Year, $44 Million From Indiana Pacers
  • Vladimir Radmonovic – Rejected 6-Year, $42 Million From Seattle SuperSonics
  • DeMarcus Cousins – Rejected 2-Year, $40 Million From New Orleans Pelicans
  • Bonzi Wells – Rejected 5-Year, $38.5 Million From Sacramento Kings
  • Latrell Sprewell – Rejected 3-Year, $21 Million From Minnesota Timberwolves
  • John Amaechi – Rejected 6-Year, $17 Million From Los Angeles Lakers

That means some players decline deals in hopes of proving their worth and cashing in later. It’s a bold gamble that, when successful, can elevate a player’s earnings and reputation. But when it fails, the consequences can be career-altering, leaving millions of dollars on the table. 

For these players, what seemed like a smart business decision instead turned into a harsh reminder of how quickly fortunes shift in the NBA. Let’s go through some examples of players betting on themselves before later regretting it. 


Dennis Schroder – Rejected 4-Year, $84 Million From Los Angeles Lakers

Apr 12, 2021; New York, New York, USA; Los Angeles Lakers guard Dennis Schroder (17) at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

In 2021, Dennis Schroder made headlines by turning down a four-year, $84 million extension from the Los Angeles Lakers, believing he could command a bigger payday in free agency. Instead, his market collapsed after a poor playoff showing and the Lakers’ trade for Russell Westbrook, leaving him with only a one-year, $5.9 million deal from the Boston Celtics. 

Was Schroder worth the hefty deal? Possibly, since he posted 15.4 PPG and 5.8 APG the season prior. Regardless, what was meant to be a bet on himself turned into one of the most infamous examples of “fumbling the bag” in recent NBA history.


Montrezl Harrell – Rejected 4-Year, $80 Million From Charlotte Hornets

Feb 15, 2022; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Charlotte Hornets center Montrezl Harrell (8) reacts to a referee's call against him and for the Minnesota Timberwolves in the second quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images

Coming off a Sixth Man of the Year campaign in 2020 (18.6 PPG, 7.1 RPG), Montrezl Harrell was reportedly offered four years and $80 million by the Hornets. Believing he could chase both a title and better financial options, he chose instead to sign a shorter, two-year $19 million deal with the Lakers. 

His minutes and production declined dramatically in L.A.’s crowded rotation, and he never regained the leverage to command a major contract again. Harrell lasted until the 2022-23 season and never played at least 25 MPG since his breakout campaign again until his retirement. 


Nerlens Noel – Rejected 4-Year, $70 Million From Dallas Mavericks

Mar 3, 2017; Dallas, TX, USA; Dallas Mavericks forward Nerlens Noel (3) keeps the ball in bounds against the Memphis Grizzlies during the second quarter at the American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

In 2017, the Dallas Mavericks put a four-year, $70 million offer on the table for Nerlens Noel, a young center with defensive upside. Advised that he could secure a max deal elsewhere, he turned it down and settled for a one-year, $4.1 million qualifying offer. 

Injuries and inconsistency plagued his career from there, and Noel never came close to recapturing that lost fortune. The big man would not play in the NBA after the 2022-23 season, although he never played a pivotal role anywhere he went. 


Victor Oladipo – Rejected 2-Year, $45 Million From Houston Rockets

Jan 28, 2021; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Rockets guard Victor Oladipo (7) dribbles the ball during the third quarter against the Portland Trail Blazers at Toyota Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images

After his All-Star peak in Indiana, Victor Oladipo bet on himself by rejecting a two-year, $45 million offer from the Houston Rockets in 2021, convinced he could prove healthy and earn a long-term max deal. Instead, his injuries worsened, and his value dipped to the point where he was forced to sign short-term contracts, including a veteran minimum deal with the Miami Heat. 

What once looked like an obvious gamble turned into a devastating financial and career setback. Quite frankly, the Rockets will be satisfied that they passed up on this deal because they have gone on to build a talented and young roster without committing too much to veterans. 


Lance Stephenson – Rejected 4-Year, $44 Million From Indiana Pacers

Mar 24, 2022; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Indiana Pacers forward Lance Stephenson (6) passes the ball as Memphis Grizzlies forward Santi Aldama (7) defends during the second half at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

In 2014, Lance Stephenson was a rising star after helping lead Indiana to back-to-back Eastern Conference Finals. Offered a four-year, $44 million contract by the Pacers, he turned it down, believing he could earn more elsewhere. 

He signed with the Charlotte Hornets for less guaranteed money, and his career quickly unraveled, never again reaching the same level of impact. We appreciated what Stephenson brought to the game in terms of entertainment, and he earned around $37 million over his career, so perhaps he isn’t losing too much sleep. 


Vladimir Radmonovic – Rejected 6-Year, $42 Million From Seattle SuperSonics

Vladimir Radmonovic of the Seattle SuperSonics.

Vladimir Radmanovic turned down a six-year, $42 million extension with Seattle in 2005, aiming for a shorter deal that would allow him to re-enter the market sooner. He ended up signing a one-year, $3 million deal with the Clippers, risking long-term security. 

While he later got decent contracts and made over $40 million in his NBA career, he never again had the chance at that kind of guaranteed money over six years. Quite frankly, Radmonovic wasn’t a good enough player to generate more than he would have received because he only averaged over 10 PPG once (2005-06) after his decision. 


DeMarcus Cousins – Rejected 2-Year, $40 Million From New Orleans Pelicans

Nov 9, 2017; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; New Orleans Pelicans forward DeMarcus Cousins (0) reacts after being fouled in the first half against Toronto Raptors at Air Canada Centre. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images

In 2018, DeMarcus Cousins, a perennial All-Star, declined a two-year, $40 million extension from the Pelicans, assuming he could command a max contract despite recovering from an Achilles tear. When no such offers materialized, he settled for a one-year, $5.3 million deal with Golden State. 

Injuries piled up, and he never regained All-Star form, costing himself tens of millions. Cousins should have accepted the deal while he worked to regain his health, but obviously, hindsight is 20-20. What really is a shame is how Cousins’ career never reached the very top after his dominance with the Sacramento Kings early on in his career.


Bonzi Wells – Rejected 5-Year, $38.5 Million From Sacramento Kings

Bonzi Wells of the Sacramento Kings.

Fresh off a strong playoff run in 2006 (averaging 13.6 PPG for the season), Wells declined a five-year, $38.5 million deal from the Kings, convinced a richer deal was coming in free agency. Instead, his market dried up, and he ended up signing a one-year, $2 million contract with the Rockets. 

Within two years, he was out of the NBA entirely, making his decision one of the league’s most frustrating examples of failing to cash in. We aren’t sure why Wells was incapable of building off a very strong campaign, because he should have had a longer career. 


Latrell Sprewell – Rejected 3-Year, $21 Million From Minnesota Timberwolves

Latrell Sprewell of the Minnesota Timberwolves.

In 2004, Sprewell famously turned down a three-year, $21 million extension from the Timberwolves, saying the offer wasn’t enough because he “had a family to feed.” No better deals materialized, and he never signed another NBA contract. 

The refusal ended his career, cementing his name in the NBA as a player who probably didn’t weigh out the market well enough. Where was his agent? We won’t know what happened behind the scenes, but Sprewell probably looked at the four All-Star Teams he made and felt he needed a bigger payday.


John Amaechi – Rejected 6-Year, $17 Million From Los Angeles Lakers

John Amaechi of the Orlando Magic.

John Amaechi shocked many in 2000 when he rejected a six-year, $17 million offer from the Lakers to stay loyal to the Orlando Magic, who had given him a chance in the league. Instead, he re-signed with Orlando for about $600,000 per season, passing up a life-changing payday. 

While his choice was rooted in loyalty to the franchise, for whatever reason, financially, it became one of the most puzzling free-agency decisions ever made. Unfortunately, this is a case where something that comes your way once will never return.

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TAGGED:Dallas Mavericks ArchiveDemarcus CousinsDennis SchroderLatrell SprewellLos Angeles Lakers ArchiveOrlando Magic ArchiveVictor Oladipo
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ByEddie Bitar
Eddie Bitar is a senior staff writer for Fadeaway World from Denver, Colorado. Since joining the team in 2017, Eddie has applied his academic background in economics and finance to enhance his sports journalism. Graduating with a Bachelor's degree from and later a Master's degree in Finance from Utrecht in 2018, he integrates statistical analysis into his articles. This unique approach provides readers with a deeper understanding of basketball through the lens of financial and economic concepts.Eddie's work has not only been a staple at Fadeaway World but has also been featured in prominent publications such as Sports Illustrated. His ability to break down complex data and present it in an accessible way creates an engaging and informative way to visualize both individual and team statistics. From finding the top 3 point shooters of every NBA franchise to ranking players by cost per point, Eddie is constantly finding new angles to use historical data that other NBA analysts may be overlooking.A lifelong basketball fan, Eddie grew up trying to mimic Jason Kidd's game. When asked which NBA player, past or present, he would most like to interview, Eddie's choice is clear: Jason Kidd. He admires Kidd's genius at playing point guard and his ability to lead a team to two NBA Finals appearances. Eddie believes Kidd is an underrated star who deserves more praise, and he would relish the opportunity to pick his brain and discuss the intricacies of the game.
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